WLTP Countdown: Impact on consumers
18 July 2018
18 July 2018 There is good news and bad news for consumers in the countdown to WLTP in September. The good news is the increased possibility of vehicle discounting before the implementation of WLTP and the availability of cheaper pre-registered cars afterwards. The bad news is that consumers face higher tax liabilities for numerous model variants and delivery times that may extend to months. Whether consumers accept the increased costs and/or delays remains to be seen. There is one certainty though: market shares will be erratic due to the implementation of WLTP. Autovista Group has noticed that model variants are being withdrawn from sale due to the new WLTP testing regime. In order for new cars to be registered from 1 September, they need to have been homologated under the new WLTP process. In Germany for example, we have calculated that the number of model variants that can now be ordered is about 10% lower than a year ago. There are three scenarios that explain the temporary â€“ or even permanent – withdrawal from sale of numerous model variants because of the implementation of WLTP:
- The model variant has failed to meet the emissions limits of Euro 6 during the WLTP test. CO2 emissions are already proving to be higher under WLTP than under the outgoing NEDC process, but there is also a ceiling limit to carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions (see Table below). If these limits are exceeded, the car cannot be registered after 1 September and will be withdrawn from sale. This could either be a permanent measure or just applied temporarily while a technical solution is effected, such as fitting a petrol particulate filter (PPF) or selective catalytic reduction (SCR). Once the reengineered vehicle meets Euro 6 standard under the WLTP type approval process, it may be reintroduced.
- The model variant has emissions levels that subject it to a higher tax burden in some markets. In this case, too, the car may be withdrawn from sale – either permanently or until a technical solution is effected that satisfactorily improves the vehicle’s emissions under the WLTP type approval process.
- The model variant has simply not undergone WLTP testing yet. In this case, the vehicle cannot be registered from 1 September â€“ derogation aside â€“ until it has gained WLTP type approval. Given the lag between cars being ordered and registered, the model is being withdrawn from sale already and may not be reintroduced until it has gained WLTP type approval.